By Graeme Lee Rowlands. Jan. 23, 2020. Last May, the U.S. and Canada began negotiations to modernize the Columbia River Treaty (CRT) — a 1964 agreement that defines the way both countries share the Northwest’s greatest waterway. The CRT required British Columbia (B.C.) to build three dams in the upper portion of the watershed and use them to control river flows to increase hydropower generation at American dams and prevent downstream flooding, primarily in the greater Portland area. In return, the U.S. paid B.C. about $534 million (at 2019 $ value) for the first sixty years of flood control and agreed for the life of the treaty to return 50% of power enhancements to B.C.
This annual share of hydroelectricity, known as the “Canadian Entitlement,” is a theoretical quantity calculated in advance by both countries as the maximum amount possible in a system optimized for power generation. In most years since the 1990s, this calculation has exceeded actual U.S. generation due to domestic factors influencing the operation of American dams, including integration with other power sources and legal obligations to provide river flows suitable for struggling fish populations.
Now that the CRT is up for revision, public utility districts (PUDs) and others are insisting that the U.S. negotiating team (led by the State Department) must secure deep cuts to the Canadian Entitlement — or terminate the agreement. It’s fair to argue that payments to B.C. should be aligned more closely with actual benefits. However, those advocating steep reductions in the Entitlement seem to have exaggerated the imbalance and have neglected to consider the Treaty’s full context. In doing so, they may be setting Americans up for failure, with a one-sided perspective and unrealistic expectations.
At the December 16th “Treaty Town Hall” event hosted by the State Department, Douglas County PUD Manager Gary Ivory epitomized this misleading narrative when he told negotiators, “we believe that anything less than a 90 percent reduction [of the entitlement] is going to be a failure on your part.” This statement implies that the Entitlement is ten times larger than it should be. But estimates provided by the bi-national “Permanent Engineering Board” charged with executing the Treaty offer a different story. Since 2004, the Entitlement has on average been just 2.37 times greater than actual generation. This suggests a reduction of only about 58% to align it with actual power generation, not the 90% that PUDS have argued for.
Furthermore, changes to the CRT will be determined through a complex multi-issue negotiation, which inherently involves compromise. Canadian water management does more than enhance power production and manage flood risk. It gives the U.S. flexibility to operate dams (especially Grand Coulee) for other purposes including irrigated agriculture in the Columbia Basin Project, ecosystem health, commercial navigation and recreation.
The Treaty required B.C. to flood four of its most ecologically and agriculturally rich valleys, forcibly evicting thousands of people and destroying rural communities. Furthermore, Canadian Basin residents are still forced to compromise domestic priorities to abide by Treaty operations. The Canadian Entitlement is the only ongoing benefit British Columbia receives for this. As such, it is exceedingly unlikely that Canadian negotiators will agree to provide downstream services and concede to American demands for a drastically reduced Canadian Entitlement. At the same time, the U.S. is not in a position to easily walk away from the Treaty, as PUDs have suggested it should do.
By taking such an extreme stance that is out of touch with transboundary realities, PUDs are setting an impossible bar for the U.S. negotiating team to reach. If the public believes the negotiation is as simple as playing tough with Canada to get a better deal for electric ratepayers, they are going to be sorely disappointed when they don’t get anything close to the near-elimination of payments that PUDs have told them to expect.
Historically, many Columbia Basin maps have cut the watershed off at the international boundary. This cartographic fragmentation is reflective of an attitude that persists today, which believes that the watershed is best shared through a strict division of national interests. If we are going to find an agreement for the future that both countries can live with, we will need to reject this divisive philosophy. Americans and Canadians need to understand and value all of the interests at hand, including those of their neighbors across the border.
Graeme Lee Rowlands is a published researcher and contractor who has traveled the entire length of the Columbia River and worked in both the American and Canadian sides of the Basin. His written work on issues related to the Columbia River Treaty has appeared in more than 50 publications. He is on twitter at @gleerowlands.
What are the barriers to the US walking away from the treaty? And again, what are the barriers to the near-elimination of the Canadian Entitlement. I don’t doubt your statements, I just want to know more about what strengths the Canadians have in this negotiation?
One big barrier to the U.S. walking away from the CRT is that current infrastructure and water management protocols for flood protection, hydropower generation, shipping, irrigation, ecosystems and recreation depend on the Canadians operating their Treaty dams in a way that benefits these interests. The U.S. could perhaps figure out how to manage for all of these interests without Canadian Treaty services but it would require much greater compromise between them. For example, the only significant American “storage dam” (i.e. with storage capacity to substantially manipulate the flow of the river) on the Columbia River is Grand Coulee (the rest are “run of river” dams that mostly just pass water through turbines as it flows down the river). Currently, the U.S. outsources its flood protection “work” to Canada through the CRT. Without the Treaty, the U.S. would be responsible for providing its own flood protection (this will happen anyways when the 60th anniversary of the Treaty arrives in 2024 if the U.S. and Canada do not agree otherwise). This would mean drawing down the reservoir behind Grand Coulee Dam before Spring snowmelt to catch flood waters. However, Grand Coulee is also the largest power station in the country, enables irrigated agriculture for the Columbia Basin Project (the largest “water reclamation” project in the country), and supports other values such as reservoir recreation. Assuming responsibility for flood protection would require Grand Coulee Dam to compromise these other interests, with further impacts downstream. For a thorough review of ways that the U.S. benefits from Canadian Treaty services, see https://engage.gov.bc.ca/app/uploads/sites/6/2012/07/US-Benefits-from-CRT-June-20-13-2.pdf
To quote the same report: “Treaty constraints and requirements on Canadian reservoirs continue to impact environmental, social and economic values in British Columbia. While the U.S. Entity has the freedom and flexibility to manage Treaty flows south of the border for a variety of domestic interests, the Canadian Entity does not have that flexibility due to operations required under the Treaty.” To build and operate Treaty dams, Canadians suffered severe losses and still continue to endure compromised conditions. Essentially, the CRT treated the Upper Basin (including the Canadian side and the the area of Lincoln County, Montana behind Libby Dam) as a “sacrifice zone”. At the time, the B.C. and Canadian governments were willing to accept this for monetary compensation (and, in doing so, suppress many local communities who were adamantly opposed). However, this time around, it is highly unlikely that Canadian negotiators will be willing to entirely disregard domestic and local interests for cash. Combine this with American reluctance to pay almost anything and it becomes clear that the scenario in which Canadians still provide services and Americans pay dramatically less for them makes little sense. To learn more about the perspective and priorities of Canadian Basin residents (which are guiding the negotiating team), these draft recommendations from the “CRT Local Governments Committee” are highly recommended: https://akblg.ca/src/documents/Columbia%20River%20Treaty/CRT%20LGC%20Recommendations%20DRAFT%20for%20Review%20Sept2019.pdf
For Americans interested in understanding the history of the CRT in Canada and how it informs current perspectives, this book by Eileen Delehanty Pearkes is also highly recommended: https://www.edpearkes.com/book/a-river-captured/